Political pundits and mainstream reporters are fixated on polls and fundraising. Frankly, both provide easy stories with little thought or leg work. But such accounts provide readers with a misleading picture of elections and the political landscape.
As I?ve repeatedly observed, early polls are largely a function of name ID and have little predictive power for elections months away. Likewise, money is not the end-all or be-all in races. In 2008 Hillary Clinton had a huge money lead until then-candidate Barack Obama caught on and began to level the playing field.
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